All articles
Arkady Dubnov

Arkady Dubnov is a political analyst at Moskovskiye Novosti newspaper.

  • 7 october 2012

    Tashkent Goes, Problems Stay

    (1)

    Uzbekistan’s withdrawal makes one think of a more general problem – the artificiality of the entire structure of military-political security, built around Russia. In fact, the CSTO is now a mechanical combination of three security systems, each based on Russian participation.

  • 22 june 2011

    The Last Mirage of Durability

    References to the Moslem periphery of the former Soviet empire sprang up during the peak of events in Tunisia and Egypt. All of the characteristics of North African countries – authoritarian (at best, but in most cases totalitarian) regimes that have ruled for decades; nepotism, corruption and contempt for human rights; extreme poverty, unemployment and the lack of a social security net – can be easily applied to Central Asian reality.

  • 9 april 2010

    “L’Etat, C’Est Lui!”

    Islam Karimov has never made a secret of the fact that he does not separate the notions of ‘Uzbekistan’ and ‘President.’ Karimov’s brainchild has gone through numerous harsh tests over the past two decades but now it is facing the harshest one. The challenges are too momentous to be matched by the experience of Soviet-era nomenklatura, even the one bolstered by the nationalistic aspirations that always go hand-in-glove with the construction of a new statehood.

  • 9 august 2008

    OSCE Battlefield

    The Kazakh path toward chairmanship of the largest European organization has been full of twists and turns and it reflects not so much the rise of the country’s national statehood, as the rivalry between Russia and the West for energy resources in the Caspian basin and Central Asia, plus the competition between Moscow and the Kazakh government for positions in energy markets and in the territory of the former Soviet Union.

  • 10 august 2004

    Afghanistan Under Lease

    The Americans had no illusions about the Afghan mojaheds from the very start, and extremely simplistic people only could hope in earnest that they could become the heralds of Afghan democracy. As an Afghan once formulated: "One cannot buy us out, one can only lease us for a while".

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Publisher's column

A Cold War: A Forecast for Tomorrow

Nuclear deterrence is the only reason why the world did not plunge into a nuclear conflict during the Cold War and is not sliding down that path now as we are living through a new Cold War which is even worse than the previous one.

Editor's column

Fuzzy Alliances, Flexible Relations

Relations between Russia and the West have reached their lowest point since the Cold War. Unfortunately we cannot be sure that they won’t deteriorate even further. It is time to start to mend ties, but the only consensus view shared by both sides is that business as usual is not an option.


Contrary to Expectations, US-Russian Relations Deteriorate Under President Trump

Donald Trump’s presidency began a year ago with widespread expectations of improvement in U.S.-Russian relations; there was even loose talk of a grand bargain. His first year in office ends, however, with relations in worse shape than he found them.

The Tragedy of Russian Foreign Policy. Book Review: “Different Times: Essays on Foreign Policy” by Anatoly Adamishin

Russia is neither doomed to have adversarial relations with the West nor destined to have friendly ones with it: it is all in the hands of policymakers who need to learn, also from their own mistakes. Anatoly Adamishin’s book provides them with a rich body of experience to work from.

The Global Resurgence of Economic Nationalism

Against a background of shifting geoeconomic power from the West to the East, economic nationalism has become the development strategy that allows rising powers to reverse negative asymmetry in interdependent economic relationships.

Alt-Right: A Rise of Radical Alternative Rightist Movements in the Trumpist Framework

Alt-Right incarnation of the right-wing ideology presents a dubious and quite self-contradictive concept. What is more important is that it clearly illustrates the massive ideological and political transformation that alters the political balance in the Western countries.

Conditionality Beyond Sanctions

Identifying and Pursuing Interests in the EU-Russia Relationship.

The Demise of Ukraine’s “Eurasian Vector” and the Rise of Pro-NATO Sentiment

Before 2014, the majority of Ukrainians did not view the goal of European integration as a “national idea.” Even so, most Ukrainians had positive views about developing relations with and integrating into the EU.