Vladislav Inozemtsev is Director of the Center for Post-Industrial Studies; member of the Presidium of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy and the Russian Council on Foreign Affairs. He holds a Doctorate in Economics.
Illusory hopes that new technological possibilities will help create unlimited wealth have never come true. No invention can ensure a life of ease for decades. Of course, the world has changed – but, as the developments of recent years have shown, not to an extent that the established economic patterns should be discarded as worthless. The 21st-century world is a renewed yet still industrial world.
The Soviet Union, contrary to many expectations, survived the year 1984 – one of the last years of the industrial age. But it proved helpless in the new conditions, when the development of post-industrial countries demanded greater flexibility and innovation from the rest of the world. As for Russia, over the years since the end of the Soviet era, it has grown, it looks, richer somewhat, but its basic features have remained Soviet all along.
This century will be neither “American” nor “North Atlantic” – but neither the Americans nor the Europeans or the Russians are interested in seeing the 21st century becoming “Asian” and especially “Chinese.” Today as never before all of them need unity.
A majority of economic institutions in the world today are in a sort of stupor after the powerful blow the crisis delivered in the third and fourth quarters of 2008. But this does not imply that the post-crisis rebound will not be as surprising as the crisis.
The year 2008 will be problematic because the bureaucratic class is divided. One part of the bureaucracy, which has gained control over substantial assets, is ready in principle to formally change the image of bureaucrats for the status of businessmen.
Europe is gradually turning into a kind of a community of personalities, whereas the United States and Russia are consolidating a society of citizens (or even subjects).
The trial of Hussein who claimed to
be a ruler, who could do essentially anything and whose rule was arbitrary, was to bring him to the law, before the court, but to respect all of the civilized procedural rules.
We all are entering a new era in which the Europeans may peacefully live in their united Europe, and the Americans may build their beloved America according to their own projects. But this will be possible only if America and Europe let the rest of the world follow the path of genuine globalization, that is, let each nation and people follow its own course.
You can compare globalization with the beginning of industrialization in Europe in the early 19th century when the workers were prepared to break the machinery because they were against it. To be against globalization is a similar situation, to some extent. If Karl Marx were still alive he would say: "You people are crazy. This is the means to progress."
The "war on terror" will soon outpace World War II in terms of its scale and duration. Because the ruling elites of all the countries involved, without exception – the United States, Russia, Great Britain, Poland and many others – are vitally interested in it.
We can say with certainty that what we are witnessing today is a world disorder, to which almost all members of the international community are now contributing, together with numerous illegal networks and organizations. The world is slipping into chaos. The crisis within the system of international relations now seems obvious, and the only way of resolving it is to create an altogether new world order.
Two new Russian books on globalization, one written under the auspices of the Gorbachev Foundation and the other by Russian Communist leader Gennady Zyuganov, evoke rather questionable thoughts concerning the ability of the Russian intellectual elite to propose viable models for Russia’s development in the modern world.
At a time when the Old World does not conceal its irritation with the United States, Jean-FranНois Revel, a patriarch of the French intellectual tradition, comes out in America’s support.
“The vast majority of Muslims are not terrorists, but the vast majority of terrorists are Muslims,” – notes Dinesh D’Souza in his new book.
Illusory hopes that new technological possibilities will help create unlimited wealth have never come true. No invention can ensure a life of ease for decades. Of course, the world has changed – but, as the developments of recent years have shown, not to an extent that the established economic patterns should be discarded as worthless. The 21st-century world is a renewed yet still industrial world.
The Soviet Union, contrary to many expectations, survived the year 1984 – one of the last years of the industrial age. But it proved helpless in the new conditions, when the development of post-industrial countries demanded greater flexibility and innovation from the rest of the world. As for Russia, over the years since the end of the Soviet era, it has grown, it looks, richer somewhat, but its basic features have remained Soviet all along.
This century will be neither “American” nor “North Atlantic” – but neither the Americans nor the Europeans or the Russians are interested in seeing the 21st century becoming “Asian” and especially “Chinese.” Today as never before all of them need unity.
A majority of economic institutions in the world today are in a sort of stupor after the powerful blow the crisis delivered in the third and fourth quarters of 2008. But this does not imply that the post-crisis rebound will not be as surprising as the crisis.
The year 2008 will be problematic because the bureaucratic class is divided. One part of the bureaucracy, which has gained control over substantial assets, is ready in principle to formally change the image of bureaucrats for the status of businessmen.
Europe is gradually turning into a kind of a community of personalities, whereas the United States and Russia are consolidating a society of citizens (or even subjects).
The trial of Hussein who claimed to
be a ruler, who could do essentially anything and whose rule was arbitrary, was to bring him to the law, before the court, but to respect all of the civilized procedural rules.
We all are entering a new era in which the Europeans may peacefully live in their united Europe, and the Americans may build their beloved America according to their own projects. But this will be possible only if America and Europe let the rest of the world follow the path of genuine globalization, that is, let each nation and people follow its own course.
You can compare globalization with the beginning of industrialization in Europe in the early 19th century when the workers were prepared to break the machinery because they were against it. To be against globalization is a similar situation, to some extent. If Karl Marx were still alive he would say: "You people are crazy. This is the means to progress."
The "war on terror" will soon outpace World War II in terms of its scale and duration. Because the ruling elites of all the countries involved, without exception – the United States, Russia, Great Britain, Poland and many others – are vitally interested in it.
We can say with certainty that what we are witnessing today is a world disorder, to which almost all members of the international community are now contributing, together with numerous illegal networks and organizations. The world is slipping into chaos. The crisis within the system of international relations now seems obvious, and the only way of resolving it is to create an altogether new world order.
Two new Russian books on globalization, one written under the auspices of the Gorbachev Foundation and the other by Russian Communist leader Gennady Zyuganov, evoke rather questionable thoughts concerning the ability of the Russian intellectual elite to propose viable models for Russia’s development in the modern world.
At a time when the Old World does not conceal its irritation with the United States, Jean-FranНois Revel, a patriarch of the French intellectual tradition, comes out in America’s support.
“The vast majority of Muslims are not terrorists, but the vast majority of terrorists are Muslims,” – notes Dinesh D’Souza in his new book.
When the Baltic countries entered NATO and the European Union a couple of years ago, many thought it was the end of the centuries-old "red line." Euro-Atlantic organizations had crossed into the former Russian and Soviet empires.
In September 2004, the Russian city of Novgorod hosted an international conference entitled Russia at the Turn of the Century: Hopes and Reality. Its organizers were the RIA Novosti news agency, the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy, Russia in Global Affairs, and The Moscow Times.