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22 september 2017
The Global Leadership Vacuum
Will Angela Merkel’s Germany ensure that great-power cooperation does not deteriorate beyond the point of no return in the Trump era? The answer to that question will likely determine if the international order has any order to speak of in the years ahead.
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4 september 2017
A New Phase in the European Response to Migration?
This summer marked an evolution in the joint European response to increasing irregular migration from Africa.
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10 august 2017
Orban’s vision of a new Europe will struggle to succeed
Hungarian PM is preoccupied with battling Brussels as country’s citizens lose faith.
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19 july 2017
Whatever Happened to the Refugee Crisis?
It is not unusual, given the daily pressure of “breaking news”, for a story to feature in the headlines one day, only to disappear without trace the next. One of the justified complaints about modern journalism is the way news is reported first without context, and then without follow-up.
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29 june 2017
Breaking the U.S.-Russia Impasse: Keeping the Door Open to Dialogue
The relations between the United States and the Russian Federation have been deteriorating at a rapid pace. Each nation has been accused of interfering in the domestic elections of the other, making it increasingly difficult for the respective administrations of these states to work cohesively to solve critical problems between the two states.
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25 may 2017
Mogerini's Adviser: Pragmatism Becomes the Basis of EU Foreign Policy
Despite the contradictions between the EU member states, they become aware that they would eventually get more from joint actions than from satisfying one hundred percent of their desires, said Nathalie Tocci, adviser to the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Federica Mogherini.
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22 february 2017
Anti-Elite Protests and the Future Of Democracy
The article reveals causes of the social protest and the emergence of qualitatively new components in relationship between the elite and society.
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25 september 2016
To Keep Your Balance, Keep Moving
Neither crises nor criticism mean that the EU will fall apart. It will maintain its stability even though it will be engaged not even in major repairs but in patching up and papering over the cracks. Brussels will focus on consolidating what has been achieved, which will require pinpoint harmonization in particular spheres.
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25 september 2016
Law and National Interest
Russia should reasonably assess the need for itself to participate in old, mostly European, formats of integration, and to think of new formats that would be more consistent with modern requirements. The principles of Russia’s interaction should be revised in favor of greater pragmatism and protection of national interest.
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21 august 2016
The EU's Crises and its Future
At present, five problem areas can be singled out in the EU. These are crises of: internal political leadership and solidarity; the stability of a single currency and economic growth; normative leadership; immigration and the terrorist threat; and finally, legitimacy.
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1 august 2016
How the World Looks From the Russian Perspective
In the future, a duumvirate may emerge in Central Asia, in which China will provide investment and resources, and Russia will contribute security and geopolitical stability.
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17 june 2016
Water and Peace
The only strategic response to the global water challenge and international competition for water would be to improve water use efficiency by redistributing water intakes and introducing new water use technologies. Importantly, these measures do not require redistributing water flows among countries.
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25 april 2016
Can Russia’s Peace Plan for Syria Work?
When it comes to Russia’s geopolitics, the international community has a lot to grumble about.
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26 february 2016
“The world is in pre-war state”
Faced with a crisis, the Russian authorities are trying to convince their people that all of Russia’s troubles come from abroad, but its main battles are also won there.
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18 february 2016
Yes, the U.S. and Russia can cooperate to end the Syrian civil war. Here’s why.
They agree on key points. And no one wants to see the region in chaos or run by the Islamic State.
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13 february 2016
2015: Global Tendencies and Russian Policies
The Russian elite have realized that the country will have to live in a new reality that differs from the past rosy dreams of integration with the West, while preserving its independence and sovereignty. Yet they have not yet used the confrontation and the growth of patriotism for an economic revival.
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20 january 2016
German Paradox: How the Refugee Crisis Makes Merkel Stronger
Merkel’s EU critics come to realize that any kind of “war” on Merkel can end up very badly for the European Union.
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17 december 2015
Russia and Europe: A New Round?
Russia is ready for dialogue with the EU on a fundamentally new basis. A return to the relations we had three years ago is pointless and impossible. We must create a new format.
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14 december 2015
Strategic Depth in Syria – from the Beginning to Russian Intervention
In 2002, AKP government came to power, multidimensional and active foreign policy has been their vision. AKP government took politically and economically unstable country that’s why first years of AKP period, TFP was not active as they assumed. Ahmet Davuto?lu can be considered as an architect of new Turkish foreign policy under AKP period.
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13 december 2015
Between a Crisis and a Catastrophe
By the middle of the second decade of the 21st century it has become clear that the world is moving towards a balance of power that was more typical of the 17th and 18th centuries, with the appropriate geopolitical adjustments. Western influence, with its possibilities and military capabilities, is decreasing, while the East and the South are rising.
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4 december 2015
Four scenarios for what happens next in Russian-Turkish relations
While escalation of the conflict between Russia and Turkey is unlikely for now, so too is any full restoration of ties between the two estranged nations. What’s most likely is a new type of frozen conflict.
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9 september 2015
Turning Point in European History
The refugee crisis – by no means the first one in European history – is just the tip of the iceberg, the quintessence of the accumulated problems. They should be analyzed rationally in order to make the right diagnosis and find a cure.
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Trump’s Foreign Policy Is ‘Buy American’ — Become An Ally By Becoming A Client
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Fyodor Lukyanov -
G20 in Hamburg: Positive or Negative? Expert Discussion
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Fyodor Lukyanov, Andrey Kortunov -
Breaking the U.S.-Russia Impasse: Keeping the Door Open to Dialogue
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Hall Gardner -
Trump-Putin meeting: Much ado about nothing
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Fyodor Lukyanov -
Russia and NATO: A Paradoxical Crisis
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Ivan Timofeev
Russia’s Victory, new Concert of Nations
Russia was resolved and would win, which it actually did by the beginning of 2016. Threats to tear its economy to tatters and organize regime change either through asphyxiating sanctions, organizing “a conspiracy of oligarchs” or popular discontent have been forgotten.
Atlantic Drift: Russia and the U.S.-Europe Divide
Relations between Russia, Europe, and the United States are in flux as none is able or wants to maintain what it once had. An attempt to revive the Cold War paradigm has failed, and a new framework of relations has not formed. This state of uncertainty will most likely endure until each player achieves a measure of domestic stability.
Russia’s Many Futures
Russia will have many futures because it has had many pasts. Three aspects in particular stand out in any discussion of Russia’s future.
German Election: Angela Merkel and New Coalition?
The outcome of Germany’s elections seems to be a foregone conclusion. Chancellor Merkel is sure to be reelected for her fourth term.
Great Power Interventions and the Future of Responsibility to Protect
It may often seem that a whole epoch has passed since the Kosovo Commission’s oft-cited conclusion that the NATO intervention into Yugoslavia in 1999 was “illegal, but legitimate”.
Russia–US Relations and the Future of Syria
The greatest analytical challenge in trying to understand the Syrian civil wars overcoming the propensity to see the world as it was and not as it is. It is tempting to look at Syria on a map and imagine that one day soon it could be put back together – if only a resolution could be found during diplomatic meetings in Astana or Istanbul.
Turkey and Russia, Erdogan and Putin
By the summer of 2016, it had become relatively commonplace in Western policy circles to wonder if Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan was following in the footsteps of Russian President Vladimir Putin, and, if so, how far down that path he would take Turkey.
The Need to Massage Egos: Status Politics as a Crucial Element of US-Russia Relations
Despite multiple official declarations of non-adversarial intentions issued by the United States and Russia over the past quarter-century, both sides have been unable to avoid repeated bouts of conflict escalation.