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16 november 2015
Paris Events Will Further Tighten the Middle East Knot
The attacks will almost inevitably lead to an escalation of war in Iraq and Syria, as well as to changes in the balance of forces in the Middle East as a whole.
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11 november 2015
Why Russia and the West won't be teaming up against ISIS anytime soon
Russia and the West fundamentally differ in their interpretations and responses to the crash of a Russian civilian airliner in Egypt. As a result, they are losing another opportunity to unite against the global threat posed by ISIS.
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5 november 2015
7 trends for Russian foreign policy you need to know
After the Ukraine crisis and military intervention in Syria, the key principles and ideas underpinning Russian foreign policy are becoming easier to understand.
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27 october 2015
Discipline and Punish Again? Another Edition of Police State or Back to the Middle Ages
In the recent years, a trend towards a narrowing of the sphere of individual freedoms has been observed throughout the world. At the same time, we see the expansion of sovereign freedoms — the sphere where government allows itself to interfere with a citizen’s private life.
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16 october 2015
Despite airstrikes, is Russia still working toward political solution in Syria?
Russia appears to be considering various political resolutions to the Syrian crisis, possibly including one without Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
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12 october 2015
Russians in Syria: Fervour After Syndrome
The Russian operation in Syria is an indisputable milestone in the country's political development. For the first time in over a quarter of a century, the Kremlin is officially conducting a high-scale military operation abroad, motivated not by peacekeeping and "peace enforcement", but by strategic reasons.
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15 july 2015
Middle East Crisis: Foreign Interference and an Orgy of Extremism
The Middle East is one of the most turbulent regions in the world today, engulfed by a wave of conflict and violence that threatens international security.
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10 july 2015
Shanghai Cooperation Organization: Looking for a New Role
The SCO is essentially a regional cooperative association, and as such it is often perceived as a potential center of the burgeoning multipolar world, capable of providing an alternative – or a counterbalance – to the US and its allies.
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19 june 2015
Worlds Apart?
Theoretically, a convergence of Russia’s and the U.S.’s vital interests may pave the way to mending fences between the two countries, with joint counteraction to the Islamic State and Al-Qaeda being the most evident opportunity to start such a rapprochement.
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18 january 2015
Charlie and Theo
(1)The Dutch filmmaker Theo van Gogh, who was murdered by a Muslim extremist in Amsterdam a little more than ten years ago, had much in common with the satirists of Charlie Hebdo
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18 december 2014
Tenuous Wariness
Central Asian countries should be prepared for any scenario and should try to prevent the most dangerous upheavals in Afghanistan. In particular, they can strengthen their own defense capabilities and establish close cooperation with Kabul to combat regional terrorism.
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8 january 2014
Russia's Syria policy linked to Chechnya, terrorism
Significant terrorist acts in Russia and the United States usually have the same effect. The same thing happened as recently as last spring, after the terrorist attack in Boston, as a trail was found leading back to the Caucasus.
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26 april 2013
Russia, The US and Syria After the Boston Bombing
Russia’s differences with Western countries and the US on the Syrian question, for example, are conceptual in nature.
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20 december 2012
To Govern, Not to Act
Political power was the focus of 2012. Three of the world’s most powerful countries underwent a change in government.
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13 september 2012
How the Arab Spring Muddied Post-9/11 Clarity
Last Tuesday, September 11, while the United States was commemorating the victims of the 9/11 terrorist attacks, anti-American demonstrations erupted at U.S. consulates in Libya and Egypt.
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29 december 2011
The Cold War and the Post-Cold War World
Rather than a future in which Chinese hegemony will replace that of the United States, we seem to be rapidly entering a world in which no country will exercise anything resembling true world leadership. This bears a sinister resemblance to the 1920s, when the United States replaced Britain as the world’s leading economic power, but was wholly unwilling to shoulder additional burdens of global leadership.
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9 september 2011
The opportunity that wasn’t
The 9/11 tragedy was an opportunity for Russia and the United States to significantly improve relations. But was there ever such an opportunity?
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28 july 2011
Oslo tragedy as an ill omen
The tragic events in Europe can be compared to those in the United States. There is a growing gap between the elite and the electorate whose sense of stability has been profoundly shaken.
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6 may 2011
The master of historical byplay
The Euronews TV channel quoted a U.S. Marine Corps veteran of the Afghanistan and Iraq wars standing in a crowd outside the White House on Monday.
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27 march 2011
A Smaller Empire?
(1)Among the respondents favoring Chechen secession only a very small number believe that Chechnya should be entitled to independence by virtue of its right to self-determination. Remarkably, these respondents have Russia’s interests in mind (“It would be better for Russia”), not Chechnya’s.
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27 january 2011
Terrorism’s local roots
International terrorism was at the forefront of global politics in the first decade of this young century. The concept is actually relatively new.
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4 november 2010
Uncertain World: Talking Afghanistan without schadenfreude
News about Russia’s alleged intention to contribute forces to the Western coalition in Afghanistan has made headlines on both sides of the Atlantic in the past few days.
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Trump’s Foreign Policy Is ‘Buy American’ — Become An Ally By Becoming A Client
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Fyodor Lukyanov -
G20 in Hamburg: Positive or Negative? Expert Discussion
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Fyodor Lukyanov, Andrey Kortunov -
Breaking the U.S.-Russia Impasse: Keeping the Door Open to Dialogue
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Hall Gardner -
Trump-Putin meeting: Much ado about nothing
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Fyodor Lukyanov -
Russia and NATO: A Paradoxical Crisis
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Ivan Timofeev
Russia’s Victory, new Concert of Nations
Russia was resolved and would win, which it actually did by the beginning of 2016. Threats to tear its economy to tatters and organize regime change either through asphyxiating sanctions, organizing “a conspiracy of oligarchs” or popular discontent have been forgotten.
Atlantic Drift: Russia and the U.S.-Europe Divide
Relations between Russia, Europe, and the United States are in flux as none is able or wants to maintain what it once had. An attempt to revive the Cold War paradigm has failed, and a new framework of relations has not formed. This state of uncertainty will most likely endure until each player achieves a measure of domestic stability.
German Election: Angela Merkel and New Coalition?
The outcome of Germany’s elections seems to be a foregone conclusion. Chancellor Merkel is sure to be reelected for her fourth term.
The Global Leadership Vacuum
Will Angela Merkel’s Germany ensure that great-power cooperation does not deteriorate beyond the point of no return in the Trump era? The answer to that question will likely determine if the international order has any order to speak of in the years ahead.
Great Power Interventions and the Future of Responsibility to Protect
It may often seem that a whole epoch has passed since the Kosovo Commission’s oft-cited conclusion that the NATO intervention into Yugoslavia in 1999 was “illegal, but legitimate”.
Russia–US Relations and the Future of Syria
The greatest analytical challenge in trying to understand the Syrian civil wars overcoming the propensity to see the world as it was and not as it is. It is tempting to look at Syria on a map and imagine that one day soon it could be put back together – if only a resolution could be found during diplomatic meetings in Astana or Istanbul.
Turkey and Russia, Erdogan and Putin
By the summer of 2016, it had become relatively commonplace in Western policy circles to wonder if Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan was following in the footsteps of Russian President Vladimir Putin, and, if so, how far down that path he would take Turkey.
The Need to Massage Egos: Status Politics as a Crucial Element of US-Russia Relations
Despite multiple official declarations of non-adversarial intentions issued by the United States and Russia over the past quarter-century, both sides have been unable to avoid repeated bouts of conflict escalation.