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30 august 2017
A Regime With no Hegemon? Lessons from the West and Cooperation in Eurasia
This summer, the US Congress approved, and President Donald J. Trump signed a bill that made economic warfare against Russia, Iran and the DPRK an integral part of US foreign policy.
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29 august 2017
China sanctions hint of what’s to come
Recent US sanctions against China and Russia are signs of the Trump administration's toughening approach to North Korea.
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28 august 2017
How to Tame the Cyber Beast?
A decade ago it was possible to say that cyber was a promising new topic, which had the potential to stay beyond the realm of politics. Today, not so much.
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23 august 2017
Looking out Five Years: Ideological, Geopolitical, and Economic Drivers of Russian Foreign Policy
Putin has embraced patriotism and Eurasianism, but Russia must soon confront economic, security, and demographic headwinds, as well as the imperative of reform.
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23 august 2017
Eastern Europe is Heating up
Berlin’s current frustration with Warsaw is a symptom of Eastern Europe’s growing geopolitical importance. The region is attracting attention from two key global players: the United States and China. Germany is mainly concerned with Poland’s rapprochement with the United States and hostility towards Berlin.
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22 august 2017
Russia's WTO Membership – Marking the First 5 Years
This August Russia is marking its 5th anniversary of WTO membership. As Russians look back at the experience of the past 5 years for many this anniversary is a reminder of the record-long odyssey to join the Club as well as the disillusionment over the lack of dividends after the entry into the organization.
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14 august 2017
Afghanistan: Stabilization Is Far Away
The military and political situation in Afghanistan continues to deteriorate. The daily terrorist attacks, carried out by the Taliban movement and other radical groups, are aimed not only against government and military facilities, but also against the civilians.
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7 august 2017
What Chinese Naval Base in Djibouti Means
The recent official opening of the Chinese military base in Djibouti should be seen in the context of the Chinese naval presence expansion in the Indian Ocean and the Mediterranean and the coming change of China’s role in global and regional security.
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2 august 2017
Russia’s Eurasian Model of Modernization
As Russia’s literary classicists claimed, the most important issue for Russia is a sense of direction and in today’s context this is exactly what is lacking in Russia’s economic policy paradigm.
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1 august 2017
The U.S. in Central Asia: between «С5+1» and «Make America Great Again»
October 30 to November 3, 2015, was marked by the first large-scale visit made by the U.S. Secretary of State to Central Asia, covering all five countries of the region.
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25 july 2017
The West’s Decadent Foreign Policy
The West is increasingly reluctant to allow its vision of civil liberties and human rights to shape foreign policy, often owing to the potential commercial costs. Such foreign-policy decadence threatens to undermine the West's claim to be a community of values – and the EU's claim to be more than a glorified customs union.
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24 july 2017
Russian-Chinese Exercises in the Baltic As an Element of a Changing World
On July 20th, the five day naval exercises between China and Russia were officially kicked off in the Baltic Sea. It seems that this has made restless the Western media. Even if it does not mean that "the specter of communism is wandering around Europe," at least one sentence is added: "This is another manifestation of the new authoritarian coalition."
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12 july 2017
G20 in Hamburg: Positive or Negative? Expert Discussion
The Valdai Discussion Club held an expert discussion dedicated to the results of the Hamburg G20 summit, which took place over the weekend.
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10 july 2017
North Korea and the Limits of Trump’s and America’s Power
Not for the first time in the past century, Korea is the most dangerous place on Earth. Kim Jong Un’s nuclear weapons and missile program is making seemingly rapid progress. The July 4 test demonstrated that North Korea is getting closer to building a missile that can deliver a nuclear warhead or chemical weapons to the continental United States. Even though North Korea is not yet capable of such an attack, it almost certainly will be within the next ten years.
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5 july 2017
China and Russia: Good Neibours, Good Partners
Compared with the ups and downs in relations between many big powers in recent years, the continuous, stable and effective promotion of Sino - Russian relations has shown a great contrast.
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3 july 2017
Trumpery and Knavery: Looking for the Virtuous
Donald J. Trump is an outsider to the political establishment, having never served in an elected of?ce before his unexpected victory in November 2016. His populist insurgency is grounded in his long experience as a maverick business tycoon.
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29 june 2017
Breaking the U.S.-Russia Impasse: Keeping the Door Open to Dialogue
The relations between the United States and the Russian Federation have been deteriorating at a rapid pace. Each nation has been accused of interfering in the domestic elections of the other, making it increasingly difficult for the respective administrations of these states to work cohesively to solve critical problems between the two states.
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29 june 2017
Russia Will Not Lose from the Denunciation of the INF Treaty
Recently the American journal Politico, referring to some congressmen, reported on the proposal to the US administration from the Congress about possible withdrawal from the INF treaty, signed by Ronald Reagan and Mikhail Gorbachev in 1987.
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20 june 2017
Russia-China: An Alliance for Peace or War?
Will the union between China and Russia help strategic stability?
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9 june 2017
The United States as a Republic of Curved Mirrors: What is Russia to Do?
The morbid situation involving a political and information war that developed in the United States this winter, where the traditional establishment seeks to weaken or completely remove the incumbent president from office, portraying Trump and his retinue as Russian puppets and traitors, continues to worsen.
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6 june 2017
Bridging the Dividing Lines in Greater Eurasia
The EU could find a partner in China, which is pushing its New Silk Road initiative to include Central Asian states, Russia, and Eastern European states. This would connect the EU and the EEU in a new broader framework “from Lisbon to Shanghai,” stimulate inter-regional cooperation, and lead to greater prosperity across the whole of Eurasia.
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6 june 2017
Asian Values as a Road to Progress
The uniqueness of the Far Eastern mobilization breakthrough is largely based on the traditional Confucian legacy, which, effectively applied, have helped Asian countries boost their status in the changing world order.
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6 june 2017
Cluster of Civilizations
Our oikumene will have to be recognized as multi-civilizational if a more balanced and multi-polar world is the ultimate goal. It is this kind of approach that is capable of making civilizational dialogue conflict free and mutually enriching.
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6 june 2017
Towards a New Strategy of Civilizational Concentration
Once it has consolidated its civilizational subjectivity, Russia will be able to go back to playing an active role in world affairs. This rebound will not be a return to the principles of (neo)-Soviet or superpower globalism. Rather, it will proceed from a new understanding of the country’s international role.
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6 june 2017
Without Partnership
The anticipated transition of the U.S. Republican administration towards bilateral free trade area agreements may become an even more effective strategy for geoeconomic consolidation of Asian allies around Washington.
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6 june 2017
Time to Stop Fighting Phantom Pains
Russia has stopped trying to turn itself into Europe, a goal Russian politicians and philosophers have been advocating for 300 years. Russia now has a more cautious attitude to long-term political and military involvement outside the national borders, and maintains a selective presence in regions of priority importance.
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6 june 2017
Taking a New Look at Nuclear Peace
A new Concert of Nations could be more stable than the previous one if it is based not only on moral principles and the balance of power, but also on mutual nuclear deterrence.
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5 june 2017
The Need to Massage Egos: Status Politics as a Crucial Element of US-Russia Relations
Despite multiple official declarations of non-adversarial intentions issued by the United States and Russia over the past quarter-century, both sides have been unable to avoid repeated bouts of conflict escalation.
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1 june 2017
India-Russia: Privileged Strategic Partnership?
Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi arrived in St. Petersburg on June 1 to hold talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Leaders of the two countries will discuss steps to build up mutual trade, expand cultural and humanitarian cooperation
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29 may 2017
Russian–Chinese Dialogue: The 2017 Model
This report presents the results of analysis of the state of Russia–China relations in 2016 and the first quarter of 2017.
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Back into the Future, Or Cold War Lessons for Russia
(3474)
Vitaly Shlykov -
Four Years Since Maidan: Why Russia-West Reconciliation Will Remain Crucial During Putin’s Fourth Term
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Zachary Paikin, Camille-Renaud Merlen, Viktoria Ivanchenko -
The arrival of post-Putin Russia
(1635)
Ivan Krastev, Gleb Pavlovsky -
WEF-2018: Everybody First
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Fyodor Lukyanov -
The West’s Unilateral Cold War
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Sergey Karaganov
The West’s Unilateral Cold War
The problem between Russia and the West is really a problem among Westerners themselves. If there is a new cold war, it is only because established elites have not come to terms with reality: the balance of military, political, economic, and moral power has shifted too far away from the West to be reversed.
Back to Balance. New Weapons As Effective Deterrence
Many bad things have been said about nuclear weapons in the decades since they first came into existence. Indeed, in the middle of the 20th century the human race developed a means of confrontation with the potential to destroy the entire world were it used on a large scale.
What is going on in Yerevan?
Armenia has been in turmoil for the past few days. The fact that the central streets of Yerevan were packed with protesters did nothing to prevent ruling coalition MPs from convening in the National Assembly and voting for the appointment of Serzh Sargsyan as Prime Minister.
The New Cold War Is Boiling Over in Syria
Policymakers need to learn from their military subordinates: They should keep their heads cool and think of the consequences of their actions, both intended and unintended.
New Tripartite Aggression in Syria Brings Mixed Results
By the strikes against Syria, the US and their allies achieved demonstrative effect only partially. It was achieved, because like in the previous illegal bombings of sovereign states (Yugoslavia, Iraq, Libya, etc.), they exhibited their military power, unprecedented arrogance and readiness to completely ignore the international law.
A Pyrrhic Victory: the History of the Sanctions War Against Iran
The history of sanctions against Iran deserves close analysis in light of the growing sanctions pressure on Russia. Although Iran and Russia are different countries facing different sanctions paradigms, Iran’s experience is meaningful if only because both countries have to contend with US sanction law.
De-dollarization in the EAEU Member States: Key Trends and Prospects
The emerging trend towards de-dollarization in the EAEU can make domestic monetary policy more efficient as well as facilitate economic integration in the Eurasian space.