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28 march 2019
“We do not dream of the future anymore, we’re scared of it.”
People used to have the right to their own interpretation, but the facts were common. Now everybody has the right to his own facts. Ours is a life in a room with walls of mirrors. It’s no wonder that we are scared of each other.
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25 april 2018
No Need to Wait for an Attack, the Threat of War Is in the Air
“Russia and China need to think about creating a joint strategy to strengthen peace. There is no need to wait for someone’s attack – the threat of war in the air,” Valdai Club expert Sergei Karaganov, who takes part in the Russian-Chinese conference in Shanghai.
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26 february 2018
The Russian Revolution of 1917: History, Memory, and Politics
In 100 years since the Revolution of 1917, it continues to have impact on the Russian society. Divergent assessments of the Revolution and different approaches to its commemoration have been sparking off heated debates on Russia’s past and future that emphasize the need to reconcile different narratives.
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4 december 2017
Plural but equal in everyone’s world: Dialogue in Sochi – or Information Warfare by Other Means?
Geopolitical pluralism, in all its continentally and regionally uneven permutations is the global reality in what passes for ‘no one’s world’ (Charles Kupchan) and/or a ‘world in disarray’ (Richard Haas) when in fact, there is an evolving underlying logic to a multipolar landscape in what should be considered ‘everyone’s world.’
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20 november 2017
Glocalization: When Globalization Goes Local
Complexity and diversity make the world more stable. A global world with identical political, economic, and any other elements could have more, not less conflict. Globality is getting localized, and locality can be globalized, too. These two trends do not contradict each other: on the contrary, their synthesis is a source of stability.
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30 october 2017
A Cold War: A Forecast for Tomorrow
Nuclear deterrence is the only reason why the world did not plunge into a nuclear conflict during the Cold War and is not sliding down that path now as we are living through a new Cold War which is even worse than the previous one.
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23 october 2017
The Importance of Being Earnest: How to Avoid Irreparable Damage
What is happening in the world? Is it a revolution that is breaking old foundations and bringing something fundamentally new? Or is it just a cyclical shake-up that will stir up the environment, but leave intact the principles of relations between states that did not change for millennia? And will the new turn out to be the well-forgotten old in the next stage?
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25 may 2017
Mogerini's Adviser: Pragmatism Becomes the Basis of EU Foreign Policy
Despite the contradictions between the EU member states, they become aware that they would eventually get more from joint actions than from satisfying one hundred percent of their desires, said Nathalie Tocci, adviser to the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Federica Mogherini.
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19 april 2016
The Middle East: the main trends
The Valdai Discussion Club hosted the 5th meeting of the Valdai Middle East dialogue, «The Middle East: From Violence to Security.» The following is a summary of the discussions and conclusions reached by its participants.
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10 february 2016
War and Peace in the 21st Century. International Stability and Balance of the New Type
Valdai Discussion Club Report
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13 january 2016
A turn to Asia: the history of the political idea
Russia has already made its turn towards Asia, and the important question now is how deep and successful it will be.
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12 december 2015
The Inevitability of Fight
“Fifty years ago the streets of Leningrad taught me a lesson: if a fight is inevitable, hit first.” These words by Vladimir Putin have become a most quoted phrase of the past fall. Said at the Valdai International Discussion Club, it unambiguously conveys the underlying principle of Russia’s current foreign policy.
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World at a Crossroads and a System of International Relations for the Future
(3167)
Sergey Lavrov -
Chinese School of International Relations
(1524)
Yevgeny Grachikov -
Symmetric versus Asymmetric Rule
(1484)
Paul Robinson -
The Logic of Counterpoint
(1355)
Igor Istomin -
A Predictable Future?
(1303)
Sergei Karaganov
A new world order: A view from Russia
Since around 2017–2018, the world has been living through a period of progressive erosion, or collapse, of international orders inherited from the past. With the election of Donald Trump and the rapid increase of US containment of Russia and China—which is both a consequence of this gradual erosion and also represents deep internal and international contradictions—this process entered its apogee.
Will US pullout from Syria increase risk of conflict with Russia?
The announcement of the US pullout from Syria was received with caution in Moscow. Besides the security and political challenges it may bring about, the Trump decision could mean the end of a practical, relatively constructive US-Russian approach to conflict at flashpoints.
Russia has 3 messages for Turkey over operation in Syria
Russia has its eye on long-term opportunities following Turkey's operation in northeast Syria.
The East’s Rise and the New Russian Foreign Policy
Russia is bracing to turn from its centuries-old foreign policy model (dating back to the Moscow Principality) to maintain direct control over its immediate periphery as a way to provide for its security. How new self-defense methods get integrated into the nation’s strategic culture can play a crucial role in the future.
Russian Interests in the Context of the Iranian-Saudi Crisis
Provocations benefit everyone. They allow strong states to express anger, reaffirm their supremacy, and to even use force but without resorting to war.
Developing the Far East and Chinese-Russian Relations: New Perceptions and New Practices
Developing the Russian Far East and Siberia has been an important step in state-building for Russia. Although there have been debates about appropriate ideas and policies in the strategy, developing the vast frontier region and promoting relations with Asian countries has set a steadfast direction of development for Russia. Chinese-Russian cooperation in the border region during the early stages of imperial Russia’s policies in the Far East holds enlightening significance for today’s bilateral cooperation.
Japan and the Development of the Russian Far East
The main objective for the Shinzo Abe administration’s active engagement in supporting the involvement of Japanese companies in the development of the Russian Far East is to create favourable environment for resolution of the territorial issue and conclusion of a peace treaty with Russia. Japan–Russia cooperation in the Russian Far East is part of Abe’s 8-point cooperation plan with Moscow.