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27 december 2017
To Understand Ukraine
The establishment of independent Ukrainian and Belarusian statehood facilitates the development of Russia’s own national project, which is oriented towards the future, rather than towards the restoration of the past. Its key foreign policy feature is real sovereignty and the freedom of geopolitical maneuvering.
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26 december 2017
Strategic Stability Revisited
There is every reason to argue that the existing approach to strategic stability based on sustaining the state of mutually assured destruction has already become an impediment to the bilateral nuclear weapons reduction regime and is completely unfit for the transition to a multilateral framework of nuclear arms negotiations.
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26 december 2017
Russia and the U.S.: The Way Forward
Overcoming the legacy of the Cold War, during which several generations grew up, proved much more difficult than was expected. That Russian-U.S. relations have been thrown far back does not meet anyone’s interests, but finding a way out of this impasse will take time, goodwill and breakthrough ideas.
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26 december 2017
Looking for Someone to Talk to
Dialogue (in its original meaning) can hardly be regarded as an effective instrument for handling urgent political crises “right here and now.” Nevertheless, the “strategic,” communicative potential of dialogue, though in little demand today, remains significant.
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25 december 2017
“Sooner or Later We’ll Find an Alternative to Capitalism”
What we should learn from the Russian Revolution as a major event in human history is that it was a concerted effort to get rid of that monster—capitalism. Capitalism produces enormous inequality and, as Marx predicted, misery at the bottom.
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25 december 2017
The Global Resurgence of Economic Nationalism
Against a background of shifting geoeconomic power from the West to the East, economic nationalism has become the development strategy that allows rising powers to reverse negative asymmetry in interdependent economic relationships.
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25 december 2017
Poland, Enfant Terrible of Europe
New Polish prime minister Mateusz Morawiecki said that after WWII Poland did not receive adequate compensation from Germany for the damage it had suffered and has the right to bring the topic of reparations to the agenda of Polish-German negotiations.
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21 december 2017
Russia Is The Honey Badger Of International Relations
It claws and gnashes well above its weight. It can't kill a lion or an alligator, but it won't run away from them either. The honey badger is Russia in 2017.
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15 december 2017
The End of European Bilateralisms: Germany, France, and Russia
Today German and French positions reflect much more the skepticism ingrained in the EU’s “five guiding principles for relations with Russia” than previous ideas of a strategic partnership with Moscow.
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15 december 2017
Can Europe Sustain the Macron Moment?
The European Union's political and economic outlook improved dramatically in 2017, following a year in which the bloc reeled from the United Kingdom's Brexit referendum and Donald Trump's election in the United States. But European leaders must not become complacent in 2018, or the EU could be thrown into crisis yet again the following year.
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13 december 2017
Conditionality Beyond Sanctions
Identifying and Pursuing Interests in the EU-Russia Relationship.
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13 december 2017
A Crisis of Perception and Reality in EU-Russia Relations
EU and Russia do currently live and represent two distinct normative models in the world, and neither is likely to completely prevail over the other.
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12 december 2017
The Demise of Ukraine’s “Eurasian Vector” and the Rise of Pro-NATO Sentiment
Before 2014, the majority of Ukrainians did not view the goal of European integration as a “national idea.” Even so, most Ukrainians had positive views about developing relations with and integrating into the EU.
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7 december 2017
Armenia’s “Both/And” Policy for Europe and Eurasia
Four years ago, Armenia’s failure to sign the EU Association Agreement was an early indication of the impending Ukraine crisis.
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4 december 2017
In China’s Footsteps: Why the Russian Bear Should Enter Stealth Mode
As Russia is approaching a point where economic and technological backwardness will become a real threat to its security and sovereignty, one possible option for it is a stealth strategy.
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4 december 2017
Plural but equal in everyone’s world: Dialogue in Sochi – or Information Warfare by Other Means?
Geopolitical pluralism, in all its continentally and regionally uneven permutations is the global reality in what passes for ‘no one’s world’ (Charles Kupchan) and/or a ‘world in disarray’ (Richard Haas) when in fact, there is an evolving underlying logic to a multipolar landscape in what should be considered ‘everyone’s world.’
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21 november 2017
EU-Russia Relations: Quo Vadis? Muddling, Normalization, or Deterioration
The Ukraine crisis became a major driver of the centrifugal relationship between Russia and the European Union, but it was not the starting point.
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15 november 2017
What Went Wrong with Eurasian Integration and How to Fix It
Current EU developments are an incentive for studying EU experience and reflecting on how to avoid their mistakes. All the more so now that other integration unions, particularly the Eurasian Economic Union, which is most important to Russia, are not making big strides.
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13 november 2017
EU, Russia and the ‘Inglorious End’ of Catalan Self-Determination
The forces inclined to continue the “process” of ever-increasing, but never final, independence of Catalonia from Spain continue to play a crucial role in the politics of this region.
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2 november 2017
Eurasia Archipelago. Prospects for a Continental Security Arrangement
A key continent, Eurasia, could become a continent of cooperation in the 21st century.
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2 november 2017
European Union Is Back in the Game
On September 13, 2017, President of the European Commission Jean-Claude Juncker delivered his annual State of the Union address before the European Parliament in Strasbourg. The address prompted significant reaction both within the EU and far beyond its borders.
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1 november 2017
On the Paradox of Global Economic Integration
Concerns over the global economic slowdown appear to be gradually receding this year as the global economy is set to muster an acceleration in growth on the back of a strong showing by the Eurozone, the US and China.
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27 october 2017
The Sovereignty that Really Matters
The preference of some countries to isolate themselves within their borders is anachronistic and self-defeating, but it would be a serious mistake for others, fearing contagion, to respond by imposing strict isolation. Even in states that have succumbed to reductionist discourses, much of the population has not.
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23 october 2017
How the Catalonia Crisis Could Be Resolved
The Spanish prime minister’s decision to invoke Article 155 of the Constitution will not entail a full-fledged suspension of autonomy, but will probably include the convening of elections in Catalonia in early 2018, putting the Catalan police under control of Spain’s Home Affairs Ministry.
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6 october 2017
The Arctic In An Age Of Geopolitical Change: Assessment And Recommendations
Arctic remains one of the world’s last great, pristine and undeveloped areas. Equivalent to one-sixth of the world’s landmass, the region is home to just 4 million people. The region is rich in both renewable and non-renewable resources.
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5 october 2017
Neo-Mercantilism, Neo-Modernism or Neo-Imperialism?
American-style globalization is being replaced not with its Asian variety, but a very harsh geopolitical reaction to protectionism as an antagonist of globalization.
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5 october 2017
Germany’s Problem Is Europe’s Problem
Germans have enjoyed a long holiday from history, but it looks like their vacation is over.
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25 september 2017
The Guns of April, Or the Return of Strategic Frivolity
Today mutual respect is probably the scarcest commodity in relations between great or even just major powers. This is particularly visible in the divide between the West and the Rest.
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19 september 2017
Atlantic Drift: Russia and the U.S.-Europe Divide
Relations between Russia, Europe, and the United States are in flux as none is able or wants to maintain what it once had. An attempt to revive the Cold War paradigm has failed, and a new framework of relations has not formed. This state of uncertainty will most likely endure until each player achieves a measure of domestic stability.
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18 september 2017
Historic Speech of Jean-Claude Juncker: Feebleness of the EU
The speech of the European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker in the European Parliament on September 13 shows, that the leadership of the European Union is trying to save itself.
A new world order: A view from Russia
Since around 2017–2018, the world has been living through a period of progressive erosion, or collapse, of international orders inherited from the past. With the election of Donald Trump and the rapid increase of US containment of Russia and China—which is both a consequence of this gradual erosion and also represents deep internal and international contradictions—this process entered its apogee.
Will US pullout from Syria increase risk of conflict with Russia?
The announcement of the US pullout from Syria was received with caution in Moscow. Besides the security and political challenges it may bring about, the Trump decision could mean the end of a practical, relatively constructive US-Russian approach to conflict at flashpoints.
Intel: How Trump's 'maximum pressure' campaign is bringing Iran and Russia closer together
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif's long-planned visit to Moscow today quickly turned into a grievance-sharing session with his counterpart Sergey Lavrov about the Donald Trump administration.
A Phony Cold War
For several years now, analysts have been unable to agree on a description for the state of Russia-West relations. The terms a “new” or “second” Cold War have been used more often than others.
Intel: How Russia and Turkey are growing closer at US expense
The April 30 phone call between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan covered a broad range of topics, including trade, military cooperation and Syria, as the two countries continue to grow closer amid US-Turkey tensions.
Battle Robots Rivalry and the Future of War
Unmanned military systems – or ‘military robots’ – are becoming more commonplace among the rising number of armies around the world and are used with increasing frequency in combat. Leading powers, their challengers as well as their non-state combat opponents have begun to design, test, and field numerous unmanned systems.
Indian Approaches to Multilateral Cooperation and Institutions in Eurasia
Relations between the US and Russia are at their worst since the end of the Cold War, China and the US have tense relations, India and China are trying to stabilize relations after a period of acrimony. The major powers appear today to be like the unhappy families in Leo Tolstoy’s Anna Karenina: ‘Each unhappy family (major power in this case) is unhappy in its own way.’