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1 june 2017
Brexit Has So Far United, Not Divided, the EU
One of the arguments heard most often through the UK’s referendum campaign concerned the damaging effect that a “leave” victory could exert on the rest of the European Union. Not only would one of the largest and strongest EU countries depart, taking its influence with it, but a trend could be set that would be hard to stop.
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25 may 2017
Strategic Solidarity: How Central Asia Responds to the Kremlin's Exhortations
The Central Asian states have endeavored over the past two decades to maintain the appropriate amount of distance from the regional hegemon, Russia.
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25 may 2017
Mogerini's Adviser: Pragmatism Becomes the Basis of EU Foreign Policy
Despite the contradictions between the EU member states, they become aware that they would eventually get more from joint actions than from satisfying one hundred percent of their desires, said Nathalie Tocci, adviser to the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Federica Mogherini.
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18 may 2017
Macron Will Succeed Internationally Only If He Improves France’s Economy
While it is difficult to say how France’s relationship with Germany and the European Union will change as Emmanuel Macron’s cabinet is still being formed, it is clear that the new French president’s priority will be in rebalancing relations.
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18 april 2017
Defense Through Leadership: Turkey on the Eve of Its Constitutional Referendum
The April 16 referendum will focus on power distribution rather than institution building. In other words, the organizers saw it as an opportunity to expand the President’s powers and allow him to rule longer. In their turn, Turks perceived it as an institutional choice to contribute to the development of the state.
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11 april 2017
Into the Unknown: U.S.-Russian Relations Unhinged
If the larger picture defies prediction, the immediate future is scarcely more transparent. In the U.S. case, the known unknowns are numerous. They begin with the question of how much deck furniture Trump is willing to overturn in order to pursue an “America First” strategy.
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11 april 2017
Russia, China and ‘Balance of Dependence’ in Greater Eurasia
The success of a region-building project is largely contingent on constructing a ‘balance of dependence’. The Greater Europe initiative inevitably failed as the attempt to ingrate almost exclusively with Europe deprived Russia of the required bargaining power to negotiate adequate inclusion.
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31 march 2017
Russia’s Victory and a New Concert of Nations
Russia was resolved to win, which it actually did by the beginning of 2016. Threats to tear its economy to tatters and organize regime change either through asphyxiating sanctions, organizing “a conspiracy of oligarchs” or popular discontent have been forgotten.
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2 march 2017
Azerbaijan’s Geopolitical Identity in the Context of the 21st Century Challenges and Prospects
Contemporary international relations are experiencing a period of turbulence and transition from a unipolar world to a world with multiple centers of power with strengthened role of regionalization. In these circumstances relatively small states try to maximize the resource of geopolitical identity to conduct their foreign policies.
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22 february 2017
Mutual Assured Deterrence
The degradation of governance within the international system is a hot topic nowadays – and for good reason. The underpinnings of the rules-based world order are crumbling, and basic norms of international behavior and decency are in decay. By almost any definition, we seem to be living in a dangerous – even prewar – type of world.
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22 february 2017
Uncertain World Economy: Time to Manage the Global Governance
The world economy enters a new phase of prolonged recession without any breakthrough in sight. International community seems no longer capable of creating new global initiatives
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22 february 2017
Anti-Elite Protests and the Future Of Democracy
The article reveals causes of the social protest and the emergence of qualitatively new components in relationship between the elite and society.
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13 february 2017
The Birth of a Greater Eurasia
While only recently the West’s dominance looked absolute, now the roles of the teacher and the student, the leader and the straggler are no longer definitely assigned. Сompetition in interpreting reality, defining meanings, and translating values will increasingly grow.
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13 february 2017
Spies, Jurists, Diplomats
The Russian political system is hard to understand, but not impossible to understand. The simplistic interpretation of a “Tsar ruling alone” shows its limits every time it is recalled to explain the Kremlin’s latest decision in foreign or domestic policy.
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13 february 2017
2016 – A Victory of Conservative Realism
We will live in a highly competitive and increasingly unpredictable world. Russia should start economic growth and development in order not to fall behind the new technological revolution again. Economic weakness provokes external pressure.
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13 february 2017
On the Threshold of New Mercantilism
Not only in totalitarian societies is the economy subordinate to ideology. Socialism, conservatism, and liberalism are certain sets of ideological, political, and economic programs.
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13 february 2017
The Future of Democracy
If elites continue to encourage the racist demagogues of the right, they will live in societies fundamentally transformed beyond their control. Where unpredictable authoritarian leaders take power, elites can lose their liberties and ultimately even their wealth.
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13 february 2017
The Knight of Russian Realism
The current elites lack Primakov’s ability to find a balance between national and international interests, see a better future, and choose the best way to achieve it. It is this ability that has placed Primakov among the brilliant representatives of realist thought.
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17 january 2017
Lukashenko’s “Drift To The West”: Why Moscow Should Not Be Worried
Belarus’ traditional structural dependence on Russia is increasing, and Minsk’s freedom of maneuver continues to shrink.
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30 december 2016
Is Russia Coming to Terms with China’s “Silk Road”?
China’s Silk Road Economic Belt initiative has been developing at a fast pace since its launch a few years ago.
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20 november 2016
Global Challenges and Russia’s Foreign Policy
The article discusses the results of Russian foreign policy since the collapse of the Soviet Union against the background of major new global and regional international trends and the policy of other major world powers.
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3 november 2016
Prospects for the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership Vis ? Vis Russia’s Interests
The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership is by far the most ambitious project in the field of contractual formats of regional economic cooperation, combining traditional measures to liberalize mutual trade with regulatory rules of economic activity on the territories of member states. If successful, this project will influence on the development of both the world economy and its regulatory mechanisms.
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20 october 2016
Are China and Russia Partnering to Create an Axis?
After experiencing many ups and downs in their relationship, China and Russia have forged a strategic partnership since the advent of the 21st century. While Russia's relations with the United States and the European Union have hit a rough patch, its ties with China are on an upward trend.
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18 october 2016
Russia “Understanders” in Europe: Discourses, Communication, Consequenc
The Ukraine conflict reinforced the desire of Kremlin policymakers to establish connections with a range of anti-status-quo groups in Europe.
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12 october 2016
Power-Sharing in Europe: Models for the Ukraine?
Some form of power-sharing arrangement could pave the way to reconciling the conflict in the Ukraine and in relations between the EU and Russia is a valid one.
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4 october 2016
Russia’s “Sovereign Globalization”: Insulation, Influence, and Decline
Economic problems are once again at the center of debates about Russia’s future. For the first time under the Putin presidency, the country faces a protracted decline in living standards.
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4 october 2016
More Europe!
No one would be served by cutting short the unique European experiment. It should develop and be an example for other regions to emulate.
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25 september 2016
To Keep Your Balance, Keep Moving
Neither crises nor criticism mean that the EU will fall apart. It will maintain its stability even though it will be engaged not even in major repairs but in patching up and papering over the cracks. Brussels will focus on consolidating what has been achieved, which will require pinpoint harmonization in particular spheres.
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25 september 2016
Old Goals, New Tasks
In view of the accelerated development of new technologies and potentially low energy prices, the struggle for energy markets will intensify. No matter in what areas energy cooperation may develop in the future, its main task will be attracting investment, technologies and human capital into the Russian fuel/energy sector.
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25 september 2016
The Great Win-Win Game
A hypothetical alliance between Russia and China is based on the assumption that it should serve as a counterweight to the U.S. hegemony. That thinking, however, overlooks the possibility that Moscow and Beijing might build closer relations for dealing with the important challenges they both face.
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World at a Crossroads and a System of International Relations for the Future
(3151)
Sergey Lavrov -
Chinese School of International Relations
(1496)
Yevgeny Grachikov -
Symmetric versus Asymmetric Rule
(1471)
Paul Robinson -
The Logic of Counterpoint
(1342)
Igor Istomin -
A Predictable Future?
(1291)
Sergei Karaganov
A new world order: A view from Russia
Since around 2017–2018, the world has been living through a period of progressive erosion, or collapse, of international orders inherited from the past. With the election of Donald Trump and the rapid increase of US containment of Russia and China—which is both a consequence of this gradual erosion and also represents deep internal and international contradictions—this process entered its apogee.
Will US pullout from Syria increase risk of conflict with Russia?
The announcement of the US pullout from Syria was received with caution in Moscow. Besides the security and political challenges it may bring about, the Trump decision could mean the end of a practical, relatively constructive US-Russian approach to conflict at flashpoints.
Russia has 3 messages for Turkey over operation in Syria
Russia has its eye on long-term opportunities following Turkey's operation in northeast Syria.
The East’s Rise and the New Russian Foreign Policy
Russia is bracing to turn from its centuries-old foreign policy model (dating back to the Moscow Principality) to maintain direct control over its immediate periphery as a way to provide for its security. How new self-defense methods get integrated into the nation’s strategic culture can play a crucial role in the future.
Russian Interests in the Context of the Iranian-Saudi Crisis
Provocations benefit everyone. They allow strong states to express anger, reaffirm their supremacy, and to even use force but without resorting to war.
Developing the Far East and Chinese-Russian Relations: New Perceptions and New Practices
Developing the Russian Far East and Siberia has been an important step in state-building for Russia. Although there have been debates about appropriate ideas and policies in the strategy, developing the vast frontier region and promoting relations with Asian countries has set a steadfast direction of development for Russia. Chinese-Russian cooperation in the border region during the early stages of imperial Russia’s policies in the Far East holds enlightening significance for today’s bilateral cooperation.
Japan and the Development of the Russian Far East
The main objective for the Shinzo Abe administration’s active engagement in supporting the involvement of Japanese companies in the development of the Russian Far East is to create favourable environment for resolution of the territorial issue and conclusion of a peace treaty with Russia. Japan–Russia cooperation in the Russian Far East is part of Abe’s 8-point cooperation plan with Moscow.