Russia in Global Affairs

If Trump’s pivot towards Russia is genuine and lasting, the global order will undergo a profound shift. A consolidated Global North, restored economic ties, the weakening of NATO, and internal political shifts in Eastern Europe could reshape the geopolitical landscape. However, if this realignment is opportunistic and short-lived, its impact may be far less transformative.

The recent US tariffs have spooked the World and created havoc in the currencies and stock markets everywhere. Markets do not tolerate sudden changes to their current equilibriums, regardless of the strength or validity of such equilibriums. As such, they are similar to humans who are only comfortable with what they know and are used to and abhor change. But change is a fact of life, and one should always expect it and prepare for it.

Given Prime Minister Netanyahu's demonstrated willingness to pursue military action against Iran, the risk of direct confrontation appears increasingly likely. Current tensions suggest that escalation may be unavoidable in the near term.

No scenario of the future suggests the advent of a force that could establish order and restrain the centripetal forces. Thus, the age of transition is likely to be long and, unfortunately, we may see more chaos in world affairs.