Russia in Global Affairs

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The Paths of Russian Militarism

Andrei P. Tsygankov

A Race for the Global South or a Battle for the World Majority: Russia’s Prospects

Konstantin V. Bogdanov, Boris E. Frumkin, Irina Ya. Kobrinskaya

Middle Powers Revisited: “Good Citizens” of the World Majority

Nikolai Yu. Silaev

Contents

Andrei P. Tsygankov

The role of military force and diplomacy increases immensely in an uncertain and imbalanced world. Militarism is clearly important enough to merit study.

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Konstantin V. Bogdanov, Boris E. Frumkin, Irina Ya. Kobrinskaya

The Global South’s vast range of opportunities is conducive to conflict-free cooperation there between state, private, and semi-private providers of development and security.

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Nikolai Yu. Silaev

The world’s sharp division into center and periphery is shrinking. More actors will build a new international order than ever before. This means that middle powers will come to the fore.

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No. 4
2024 October/December

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A Race for the Global South or a Battle for the World Majority: Russia’s Prospects

Konstantin V. Bogdanov, Boris E. Frumkin, Irina Ya. Kobrinskaya

The Global South’s vast range of opportunities is conducive to conflict-free cooperation there between state, private, and semi-private providers of development and security.

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Agenda

The West Could Never Understand How Important Ukraine Was in Russian Public Opinion

“I don't expect a huge Russian victory, but the West will end up weakened. My guess is that Russia hoped to carry out an elegant and bloodless military operation in Ukraine in 2022, as it did in Crimea in 2014”.

Fyodor A. Lukyanov

The UN Must Recover Its Central Role in Coordinating Actions by Nations

It is not too late to give the UN a new lease on life. But this should not be done through delusional summits and declarations but through the restoration of trust based on the Charter principle of the sovereign equality of all states. This is not happening so far.

Sergei V. Lavrov

War on Gaza Crystalizes Israel’s Image

Modern Israel attracts much attention from analysts and the public but our ability to understand it is hindered by ideology, prejudice, and myth. However, the fundamental difficulty lies in the habitual association of the state in Western Asia with the Jews. Should we view those who inhabit and govern Israel as Jews or have they become something else - namely, Israelis?

Yakov M. Rabkin

“Nuclear escalation may open Pandora’s box, but it will also free the world from the 500-year-long Western yoke”

We will continue to strike at the Ukrainian army, because it is basically a mercenary army, but our main goal is to sober up the West and make it retreat strategically. The best way to do that is to give the West, at least the Americans, a chance to retreat without losing face. Otherwise, they will have to flee in shame or/and suffer huge losses, Sergei Karaganov told Ukraina.ru.

Sergei A. Karaganov

Rise of Front and Proxy Media in 21st Century International Relations

Where the US intends to increase troop activity, they begin by increasing media activity to pave the way informationally and cognitively for the coming new physical ‘reality.’ In the current context, the Western policymakers and practitioners have taken a self-destructive and deeply delusional ideological path, lacking the professional capability and capacity of the past.

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The White Man’s Burden: Chasing a Mirage

What is more important for the global leader — the soft power of wealth or the hard power of the sword? Upholding the dominant global position with the power of sword flatters the ego of American power brokers but, from the financial perspective, this game might not be worth a candle.

Will NATO Attack Russia?

The growing bitterness of Western countries towards Russia is consistent with the logic of ‘preventive war’ in the initiation of armed conflicts. Rather than linking interstate confrontations with aggressive opportunism, this model views escalation as a product of fears about the future. Throughout history, major wars, as a rule, became the product of precisely this preventive logic – the desire to strike in advance of an expected weakening.

Igor A. Istomin

Contemporary Challenges to International Humanitarian Law: The ICRC Perspective

There is an urgent need to build a culture of compliance and to emphasize the way in which applying IHL sets the foundation for a resumption of dialogue between parties. Every peace process begins with small humanitarian steps. As we commemorate the 75th anniversary of the Geneva Conventions this year, we emphasize that even in warfare, there exist boundaries that must be respected.

Pierre Kraehenbuehl

What Should Russia Expect From Britain’s Next Government?

The UK goes to the polls later this year. The Conservative Party, which has been in power for fourteen years, is going to lose badly. Britain’s next government is likely to be headed by the Labour Party and Sir Keir Starmer. At some point, Britain’s next government will have to change Britain’s stance towards Russia – which has the upper hand. The question is how.

James C. Pearce

It’s Time for Russia to Give the West a Nuclear Reminder

Washington is waging a proxy war in a bid to inflict a ‘strategic defeat’ on Moscow and a tougher response to this is needed.

Dmitry V. Trenin

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