What’s at Stake for Russia in a Taliban-led Afghanistan? || Acast Podcast
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Ivan A. Safranchuk

PhD in Political Science
MGIMO University, Moscow, Russia
Institute for International Studies
Center for Eurasian Studies
Leading Research Fellow;
National Research University–Higher School of Economics,
Department of International Relations
Associate Professor


SPIN-RSCI: 9754-1094
ORCID: 0000-0003-2214-6628
ResearcherID: O-3257-2017 Scopus
AuthorID: 57193867458


E-mail: [email protected]
Address: Office 4101, 76 Vernadsky Prospect, Moscow 119454, Russia

Acast Podcast

The Taliban’s dramatic toppling of the Afghan government prompted much soul-searching in the West. But for those closer to Kabul, anxieties about how the Taliban’s takeover will shape the region’s future are even more acute. Where some see risk, however, others see considerable opportunity.

Russia’s position, for one, remains ambiguous: while Moscow seems unlikely to formally recognise the new government, it has cultivated a cordial relationship with the Taliban. For their part, Afghanistan’s Central Asian neighbors seek to balance possible economic and political collaboration and looming security threats.

So, as the dust settles in Afghanistan, what’s driving policymakers in Russia and Central Asia? In this new episode of War & Peace, Olga Oilker and Hugh Pope are joined by Ivan Safranchuk, Senior Fellow at Moscow’s Institute of International Studies, to discuss the role they will play in shaping Afghanistan’s future and to ask whether the country can avoid becoming the arena for yet more great-power competition. 

For more information explore Crisis Group’s AfghanistanRussia and Central Asia regional pages and make sure to read Ivan’s latest article here.

The Taliban Enigma and the Polycentric World
Ivan A. Safranchuk, Vera M. Zhornist
In reality, Russia has supported (although softer diplomatic language is used) the force in Afghanistan which is the most independent one in the local context. This is a rather consistent step towards building a polycentric and diverse world.