Russia in Global Affairs

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RSCI Scopus

No. 2

2003 April/June

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Contents

Russia’s Choice Should Provide for Liberty of Action

Timofei V. Bordachev, Tatiana A. Romanova

Russia’s Chances for a Robust Economy

Alexander Dynkin

The Chances and Challenges of the New World

Sergei A. Karaganov

Looking Into the Future

Leonid Grigoriev, Anna Chaplygina

Restoring G-8 Leadership of the World Economy

Intelligence in National Security Policy

Andrey Kokoshin

Two Scenarios for North Korea

Georgy Bulychev

Europe – United Yet Divisible

Alexander Chubaryan

Iran: What’s in Store?

The Voice of Europe Must Be Heeded

How Do Russians View Cooperation with Europe?

Andrey Andreyev

The Dangers of Restructuring Economies with ’Cheap Money’

A Second Life for the Baath Party

Political Duty of Bringing Russia Back to the European Fold

From Utopia to Reality

Vladimir Chizhov

Articles

Russia’s Choice Should Provide for Liberty of Action

While negotiating with the EU for a common economic area, Moscow must realize that it will have to waive part of its political independence in exchange for the benefits of a common market.

Timofei V. Bordachev, Tatiana A. Romanova

Russia’s Chances for a Robust Economy

Russia is now on the threshold of challenging changes. No other country has yet made such energetic strides in initiating a program of modernization in this global, post-industrial period of development. Russia’s chances for success will depend on how fast it will be able to eradicate the stubborn socialist features of its economy.

Alexander Dynkin

The Chances and Challenges of the New World

The 300th anniversary of St. Petersburg provides a historic opportunity for reviewing the record of Russia’s interaction with Europe and the rest of the world. Mapping out approaches to the future is definitely impossible without specific knowledge of the past; it is no less essential that we hold realistic assessments of the world we are now living in

Sergei A. Karaganov

Looking Into the Future

Russia and Europe are now economically more dependent upon each other than ever before. For the first time, energy imports have become very vital for the European economy, and this importance will continue growing in the future. Russia, the main supplier of energy resources to the EU, is no less dependent on Europe

Leonid Grigoriev, Anna Chaplygina

Restoring G-8 Leadership of the World Economy

The G-8, a club of the world economic leaders, must restore its key role in addressing global problems, which has diminished in recent years. This suggestion is made in recommendations for the Evian summit in June 2003, prepared by a group of leading experts, among them Fred Bergsten, Leon Brittan, Paul Volcker, Henry Kissinger, Thierry de Montbrial, and Renato Ruggiero.

Intelligence in National Security Policy

The September 11, 2001 “megaterror” act in the United States was the greatest setback of the U.S. state security bodies, and a horrible lesson for the entire world. In the age of international terrorism, the role of intelligence services and their responsibilities to citizens are rapidly increasing. State leaders must pay due attention to the importance of intelligence.

Andrey Kokoshin

Two Scenarios for North Korea

Should North Korea remain a sovereign state, gradually transforming itself into a regime that would be more acceptable to the world, or is the elimination of the “state of Juche” the only way to solve the North Korea crisis? This is the key question in the present stand-off on the Korean peninsula.

Georgy Bulychev

Europe – United Yet Divisible

Discussions about whether or not Russia is a full-fledged part of Europe have been proceeding for centuries. Today, the Old World is closer to an actual unification than never before, and the issue of Russia’s place in it has acquired particular significance.

Alexander Chubaryan

Iran: What’s in Store?

The pressure being exerted by the U.S. administration on Iran, which has been included as a member of the ‘axis of evil,’ serves to provoke the consolidation of the conservative positions in that country. Furthermore, it may encourage Iran to begin the development of nuclear weapons as a deterrent to Washington. This was the conclusion of the political scientists in attendance at a workshop, sponsored by Russia in Global Affairs, and chaired by highly-acclaimed Academician Yevgeny Primakov.

The Voice of Europe Must Be Heeded

Russia has supported France and Germany in their outspoken opposition to the Iraqi campaign. This is a significant development which gives positive direction to Russia’s further cooperation with Europe in international affairs. Now efforts must be made to empower the EU to speak as one voice on the international stage.

How Do Russians View Cooperation with Europe?

The Russian people have a positive attitude toward Europe and welcome the development of close relations with the EU, recent public opinion polls indicate. However, many Russians believe that Russia is not, strictly speaking, a European country; others perceive Europe’s desire to cooperate with Russia as a result of its dependence on Russian natural resources.

Andrey Andreyev

The Dangers of Restructuring Economies with ’Cheap Money’

Following the collapse of Communism, Central and East European nations and the countries of the former Soviet Union became a kind of proving ground for international aid efforts. The lessons of the 1990s have produced new evidence confirming that ‘cheap money’ allocated by developed nations and international financial institutions is inefficient.

A Second Life for the Baath Party

Baghdad and Damascus were ruled by one political force for many decades – the pan-Arabic Socialist Baath party. If Washington does not renounce its planned campaign to instigate the process of democratic change in the Middle East by force, Syria may be its next target.

Political Duty of Bringing Russia Back to the European Fold

Russia and the EU are facing many problems, both global and regional, which they can solve only by pooling together their efforts. However, the political dialog between Moscow and Brussels has been remarkably empty, considering that the solution to these vexing problems is vital to both parties.

From Utopia to Reality

The EU’s political statements that it welcomes rapprochement with Russia are made amidst the toughening of visa restrictions for Russian citizens wishing to visit Europe, together with the construction of a “Schengen Wall” which threatens to replace the Berlin Wall. Only through the easing of travel regulations will Europe demonstrate that Russia is really a welcome partner on the continent.

Vladimir Chizhov