Russia in Global Affairs

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RSCI Scopus

No. 1

2013 January/March

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Contents

Diversity of Power and Balance

Fyodor A. Lukyanov

A Changing Russia

Transition or Turning Point?

Mikhail Vinogradov

“Don’t Rock the Boat!”

Nikolay Spasskiy

Power in the 21st Century

And Still It Turns – Around Money

Sergey K. Dubinin

Real and Imaginary Threats

Perception of Russia in the World

Yevgeny Primakov

Russia and the West

The U.S. in a Time of Change: Internal Transformations and Relations with Russia

Andranik Migranyan

After the Reset

Elena Chernenko

Updating Form and Content

Yekaterina Kuznetsova, Andrey Zhuravlev

The Spring Continues

Syria As a Mirror of the Changing World Order

Alexander Aksenyonok

The Arab Spring and the Israeli/Palestinian Conflict: international implications

Russia – Geopolitical Partnerships

A Prototype Model of Post-Capitalism

Nikolay A. Kosolapov

The Sum Total of All Fears

Vassily B. Kashin

The Least of All Evils

Valentin Bogatyrev

“Look Not a Gift Tank in the Muzzle”

Sergey Minasyan

Articles

Diversity of Power and Balance

What is the power of states today? What determines their might? Money, weapons, or the ability to manage information? Or is it something else?

Fyodor A. Lukyanov

Transition or Turning Point?

The elites tended to overestimate the potential and prospects of the protests; the opposition leaders underestimated the possible effects of their actions. This was the background against which political developments unfolded in 2012. And there is no reason to expect that anything will change fundamentally in the upcoming months.

Mikhail Vinogradov

“Don’t Rock the Boat!”

We do not live in an abstract civil society, but in specific economic, legal, cultural, and ideological conditions, with the state as the foundation. When the state falls apart, chaos follows, however briefly. Any chaos is worse than state order, except for rare cases when the government carries out genocide against its own people.

Nikolay Spasskiy

And Still It Turns – Around Money

It is the common wealth, or the accumulated and permanently growing public wealth that has real significance. A growing national economy as such is a factor of attraction. Broadening markets promise lucrative contracts to any economic partner.

Sergey K. Dubinin

Real and Imaginary Threats

The role of nuclear deterrence in the great powers’ efforts to ensure their security will continue to decline, despite Russia’s current attempts to assign a more significant role to it and notwithstanding the present deadlock in nuclear disarmament.

Perception of Russia in the World

The end of the Cold War did not put a stop to the confrontation between ideas and perceptions. The clash continues in various forms and in different situations across the board, but it has lost – and I would like to emphasize this – the mainstream nature of ideological clashes as a key factor determining global development.

Yevgeny Primakov

The U.S. in a Time of Change: Internal Transformations and Relations with Russia

The U.S. is going through a painful process of shifting from unilateral global domination towards creating a balance of power in various regions of the world in order to preserve its presence and influence. This means that, as before, we can expect ups and downs in U.S.-Russian relations.

Andranik Migranyan

After the Reset

The general environment of U.S.-Russian relations up to 2020 will remain conflict-prone, especially as Russia and the United States lack a complex of stabilizing economic ties, like those in U.S.-Chinese relations. The nuclear missile parity remains the sole stabilizer.

It is very hard – in most cases impossible – to track down the source of a cyber attack. Since the U.S. and Russia have reserved the right to respond to cyber incidents like they were conventional acts of aggression, the two countries must work out confidence-building measures.

Elena Chernenko

Updating Form and Content

The synchronization of Russian and EU policies in information and communication technologies can give Moscow and Brussels a major impetus to eliminate bottlenecks in transport and logistics, border and customs control, currency regulation, and struggle against hacker activity and fraud in the Internet.

Yekaterina Kuznetsova, Andrey Zhuravlev

The time must come for the Middle East to witness the dawn of a new era – that of common sense, when all of us finally understand that this long-suffering region can and must be turned from a place of hostility and rivalry into a site for building a new, fairer, and lasting peace. A conflict of civilizations would be the sole alternative to that scenario.

Syria As a Mirror of the Changing World Order

The Arab Spring and the crisis in Syria merely aggravated contradictions that had formed a gap between Realpolitik and the observance of the de jure intact norms of international law. Today’s question is this: Is the international community able to take concerted actions or will inflated ambitions of regional centers of power gain the upper hand?

Alexander Aksenyonok

The Arab Spring and the Israeli/Palestinian Conflict: international implications

The main impact of the Arab Spring has not been to increase, but to diminish the importance of the Israeli/Palestinian conflict for the broader politics of the Arab World.

A Prototype Model of Post-Capitalism

Accessing the top tier would be possible apparently on the condition the BRICS countries try to create their own spaces of global importance. These are to include a portfolio of global law ideas and a region of neo-capitalism, protected from the effects of the crisis of the current practices.

Nikolay A. Kosolapov

The Sum Total of All Fears

Russia’s goal is to acquire reliable guarantees of its own security with regard to China, while avoiding full involvement in the growing Sino-American global rivalry and reaping all the benefits a third party can expect in such a situation.

Vassily B. Kashin

The Least of All Evils

Russia’s goal is to acquire reliable guarantees of its own security with regard to China, while avoiding full involvement in the growing Sino-American global rivalry and reaping all the benefits a third party can expect in such a situation.

Valentin Bogatyrev

“Look Not a Gift Tank in the Muzzle”

Yerevan would have shown greater interest in the problems of security in Central Asia if it were certain that its Central Asian allies would take symmetrical and proportionate actions in the Karabakh conflict.

Sergey Minasyan