Russia in Global Affairs

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RSCI Scopus

No. 2

2014 April/June

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Contents

One Floor Higher

Fyodor A. Lukyanov

Russian U-Turn

Europe and Russia: Preventing a New Cold War

Sergei A. Karaganov

A Multifaceted Crisis

Vitaly V. Naumkin

Power, Morality and Justice

Timofei V. Bordachev

Two Worlds – Two Kinds of International Law?

Rein Müllerson

Crimea and Jupiter

Kirill O. Telin

Ideas and Reality

Transformation of Russia’s Foreign Policy

Maxim V. Bratersky

The Russian World Boundaries

Igor A. Zevelev

Different Realities

Igor Yu. Okunev

Chauvinism or Chaos?

Alexander V. Lukin

International Reaction

Why the U.S. Should Allow Russia to Take Over Ukraine

Dmitry Slapentokh

Propitious Balance

Vassily B. Kashin

Finlandization of the Post-Soviet Space

Sergey Minasyan

Ukraine: Deconstruction

The Crimean Knot

Crimean Identity: Yesterday, Today, Tomorrow?

Dmitry Sosnovsky

A Horizontal Ukraine

Vladimir Bruter, Vyacheslav Igrunov

Socio-Economic Crisis in Ukraine: Why and What’s Next?

Leonid Grigoriev

Big Strategy

Shale Gas: A Revolution or a Speculation?

Svetlana Melnikova, Dmitry Grushevenko

Naval Power amid Political Turmoil

Prokhor Yu. Tebin

Will Kiev Be Able to Create a Nuclear Bomb?

Oleg N. Barabanov

Articles

One Floor Higher

It is already becoming habitual: yet another turn in world politics – and a fondly prepared portfolio of materials has to be shelved, and new ones made in an emergency mode. Witnessing epoch-making events is fascinating, but it takes a lot of nerve…

Fyodor A. Lukyanov

Europe and Russia: Preventing a New Cold War

Russia has given up hope for joining the West in the foreseeable future. But it has not yet made a choice in favor of anti-West, let alone, anti-Europeanism.

Sergei A. Karaganov

A Multifaceted Crisis

A group of U.S. neo-conservatives have been increasingly active in their efforts to rebuild the world to their design. Yet they have clearly misunderstood the vector of the transformations underway, and, which is still worse, have displayed historical ignorance.

Vitaly V. Naumkin

Power, Morality and Justice

It was not international diplomacy that has steered the situation over Ukraine into the condition of nearly systemic confrontation. The current state of affairs should be blamed squarely on the absence of diplomacy for nearly a quarter of a century.

Timofei V. Bordachev

Two Worlds – Two Kinds of International Law?

International law doesn’t work well in in a world with unipolar tendencies and when its interpretation is dictated from a unipolar center. But the world is simply too big, complex and diverse for that.

Rein Müllerson

Crimea and Jupiter

The use of force is no longer legitimate like it was in the 19th and 20th centuries. Conservative-style action from the position of force cannot achieve anything in terms of boosting a country’s position even within the traditional zone of influence.

Kirill O. Telin

Transformation of Russia’s Foreign Policy

The values of naive liberalism of the 1990s have been replaced with ideas of realism and statism, and the vacuum in Russia’s foreign policy ideology filled with an idea of gathering the Russian World and giving priority to the protection of traditional Christian values.

Maxim V. Bratersky

The Russian World Boundaries

Until spring 2014, discussions about the new Russian national identity, including the Russian world concept, had little to do with Russia’s foreign policy and national security agenda. The revolution in Ukraine made it one of the issues critical for the survival of the Russian nation and statehood.

Igor A. Zevelev

Different Realities

The new post-Crimean risk for Russia’s political system is not so much in putting political participation on freeze as in forcing this participation, which might push the country onto the road to ideology-driven authoritarianism.

Igor Yu. Okunev

Chauvinism or Chaos?

Instead of chauvinism and chaos Russia needs a third alternative. And that is a combination of moderate patriotism and moderate liberalism manifesting itself in the commitment to freer life by law, without corruption, but with mature self-government.

Alexander V. Lukin

Why the U.S. Should Allow Russia to Take Over Ukraine

The U.S. should follow the British wise policy of the early 20th century which implies the accommodation and sharing of power with an adversary. Reality would impose this transition anyway.

Dmitry Slapentokh

Propitious Balance

The Ukrainian crisis has demonstrated once again that the global Chinese business empire is growing much faster than Beijing’s military-political capabilities. There has again emerged a need for a more active Chinese policy to protect national interests.

Vassily B. Kashin

Finlandization of the Post-Soviet Space

Armenia, opting for self-restraint of its own accord, minimized its risks and losses. As to whether the Armenian-style Finlandization can be an example for other former Soviet republics would depend not only on their own choice.

Sergey Minasyan

The Crimean Knot

Russia will have to deal with the effects of Crimea being part of an independent Ukraine for 23 years. A Crimean political and business elite has emerged with its own values, bonds, and relationships. Russia is not the motherland of an entire generation of Russian-speaking youth, but the motherland of their ancestors.

Crimean Identity: Yesterday, Today, Tomorrow?

Kiev’s attempt to build an all-Ukrainian identity solely on the basis of the Ukrainian ethnos through political centralization, cultural unification, and forceful assimilation was a complete failure. Now, as part of the Russian Federation, which pursues an entirely different regional policy, Crimea has an opportunity to form its own regional identity.

Dmitry Sosnovsky

A Horizontal Ukraine

The participation of Donetsk representatives in the government corresponds to the “horizontal principle,” but domination does not. There will be neither real reform nor a modern and efficient state in Ukraine unless regions feel that they are equal.

Vladimir Bruter, Vyacheslav Igrunov

Socio-Economic Crisis in Ukraine: Why and What’s Next?

Ukraine’s main chance of entering Europe not as a source of labor force, but as a moderately developed industrialized country will be to go ahead with exports to Russia and other countries where Ukrainian manufactures are in demand.

Leonid Grigoriev

Shale Gas: A Revolution or a Speculation?

All ideological reflections on energy made by American political scientists reveal the same key approaches as in the overall policy – the same double standards and the obvious desire to create controlled chaos.

Svetlana Melnikova, Dmitry Grushevenko

Naval Power amid Political Turmoil

The World Ocean is a key space for international relations and military policies of the great powers. It depends only on Russia whether it becomes an active player in this space or a passive observer.

Prokhor Yu. Tebin

Will Kiev Be Able to Create a Nuclear Bomb?

Amidst the Ukrainian crisis several statements were made in Kiev that Ukraine should develop nuclear weapons of its own. Although the probability is not high, this issue prompts an analysis of Ukraine’s real nuclear potential in this sphere.

Oleg N. Barabanov