Russia in Global Affairs

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RSCI Scopus

No. 3

2017 July/September

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Contents

In the Moonlight

Fyodor A. Lukyanov

New Times

The Guns of April, Or the Return of Strategic Frivolity

Timofei V. Bordachev

By the Rivers of Babylon

Dmitry V. Yefremenko

Neo-Mercantilism, Neo-Modernism or Neo-Imperialism?

Aleksandr Losev

Education as a Watershed

Ivan A. Safranchuk

Strategic Threats

Razing the Old to Build the New?

From Strategic to Tactical Stability

Aleksandr Kolbin

Nuclear Weapons out of Control

Alexander G. Savelyev

A Cyber Revolt in the Making

Elena Chernenko, Julien Nocetti

Kim’s Day of Triumph

Choosing between Two Evils

Konstantin V. Asmolov

No Light at the End of the Tunnel

Andrei N. Lankov

Ready to Rebuff an Attack?

Vladimir Khrustalyov

Culture and Identity

Heart over Mind

Dmitriy Andreyev

Bringing Home the Message: “We Are Different!”

The Russian World in a Quest for Meaning

Alexander Gronsky

Articles

In the Moonlight

There is an increasingly strong feeling of countdown—towards even more drastic changes. The world is moving somewhere along the sparkling moonlit path.

Fyodor A. Lukyanov

The Guns of April, Or the Return of Strategic Frivolity

Today mutual respect is probably the scarcest commodity in relations between great or even just major powers. This is particularly visible in the divide between the West and the Rest.

Timofei V. Bordachev

By the Rivers of Babylon

The time when Russia could contemplate an exit strategy seems to have passed. It would be virtually impossible now to guarantee a negotiated settlement in Syria or at least a lasting truce without Russia’s substantial military presence in that country.

Dmitry V. Yefremenko

Neo-Mercantilism, Neo-Modernism or Neo-Imperialism?

American-style globalization is being replaced not with its Asian variety, but a very harsh geopolitical reaction to protectionism as an antagonist of globalization.

Aleksandr Losev

Education as a Watershed

For all the importance of Trump’s victory, it is too early to say that the long-term liberal trend has been broken. A basis exists for a conservative correction, probably deep and long, but not for a complete turnaround.

Ivan A. Safranchuk

Razing the Old to Build the New?

If we give up the norms and instruments of nuclear arms control developed over the past half century, we will eventually end up with nothing. Instead, we should urgently save this invaluable structure and improve this system in a prudent way, adapting it to new challenges and threats.

From Strategic to Tactical Stability

The new definition of stability, which must be maintained simultaneously at several tactical levels of the arms race in order to achieve the common strategic goal of preventing war, could serve as a new conceptual rationale for arms control.

Aleksandr Kolbin

Nuclear Weapons out of Control

A new agreement on deeper reductions in strategic offensive arms—limiting the number of strategic warheads to 1,000 for each party—could serve as a positive example of cooperation and give a chance to reach mutual understanding in other areas.

Alexander G. Savelyev

A Cyber Revolt in the Making

The fact that the first wave of hacktivism died out does not mean that a second or third wave will not follow. Next time it would be even easier to bring people together, since they would have a clear vision of what they can achieve together.

Elena Chernenko, Julien Nocetti

Choosing between Two Evils

Each of the serious players now has to make an inevitable and unpleasant choice between “bad” and “very bad,” not even knowing which of the choices has less dangerous consequences.

Konstantin V. Asmolov

No Light at the End of the Tunnel

None of the possible scenarios for solving the North Korean problem—negotiations, sanctions, and a military solution—can be considered acceptable and satisfactory. This means that the United States and the whole world will likely have to coexist with a nuclear North Korea.

Andrei N. Lankov

Ready to Rebuff an Attack?

The rate at which Pyongyang has been developing its missile program shows that prospects for a successful disarming strike that may go unpunished will disappear within a year or two. Therefore, if the U.S. does not dare strike at North Korea, there will be no alternatives to a meaningful dialogue with Pyongyang.

Vladimir Khrustalyov

Heart over Mind

One glaring distinction of Russian conservatism is its ability to take the shape of an integral outlook, but not within an orderly arranged space of logic, but through emotions, for which words are important not by virtue of their meaning, but because of the feelings they evoke.

Dmitriy Andreyev

Bringing Home the Message: “We Are Different!”

The Church may prove very helpful in conveying the image of the Russian people as possessing incredible internal stamina that helps them get through the harshest tests they arrange for themselves. This image is far more important than the image of a victor nation having a tremendous military potential.

The Russian World in a Quest for Meaning

In the endless discussions about the Russian World, our analysts have obscured the issue by vague theorizing, but have failed to produce any recognized scientific concept or school that would explain the idea of the Russian World.

Alexander Gronsky