Russia in Global Affairs

The Middle East’s enduring conflict and instability are not merely the result of historical grievances or ideological differences, they are fundamentally rooted in the international system’s anarchic structure and states’ inherent drive to maximize their power and security.

Tehran has been closely monitoring the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace agreement signed on 8 August 2025 under Donald Trump’s mediation. Iran views U.S. contribution not as a benevolent initiative for peace and the TRIPP as a transit and trade project, but rather as part of a broader strategy aimed at reshaping the region’s geopolitical map to Iran’s (and Russia’s) detriment.

From Israel’s perspective, the primary threat posed by Iran is neither its missile capabilities, nor its nuclear program, but rather the Iran’s practical commitment to the concept of “resistance” – a cornerstone of Iran’s foreign policy that opposes Israeli and American expansionism.

This moment marks a pivotal juncture in Middle Eastern history, one that will resonate for decades to come. Regardless of how the conflict ultimately unfolds, it is undeniable that the war will irrevocably reshape the political and geopolitical landscape and the balance of power in the region, setting the stage for a new era of uncertainty and transformation.

The Iran-Israel war is not a bolt from the blue. It is the direct consequence of two decades of dismantled norms, unchecked ambitions, and a deep misunderstanding of the region’s political fabric. And as always in the Middle East, when utopias fail, it is the people who pay the price.

What's the view from Moscow of the Israeli attacks on Iran? Why is Russian response so "diplomatic"? Does what Israel is doing align with what the US deep state would like to see? Can Russia trust Trump? How would Russia engage if US & Israel goals extend to dismantling Iran? Fyodor Lukyanov, Editor-in-Chief of Russia in Global Affairs magazine, took part in Armenian News Network - Groong Podcast.

Given Prime Minister Netanyahu's demonstrated willingness to pursue military action against Iran, the risk of direct confrontation appears increasingly likely. Current tensions suggest that escalation may be unavoidable in the near term.

While many EU countries continue to grapple with the implications of the United States' stance on Ukraine and NATO. Simultaneously, in the Middle East Iran's concerns regarding Trump's new order were no less than those of Europe. Iran is anxiously monitoring potential actions from President Trump, especially as its nuclear issue remains a critical topic that is expected to be addressed in the near future.

Recent developments suggest that Turkey has been given significant latitude in its actions within Syria, allowing the government to effectively mobilize its assets among various armed groups aligned with its strategic interests. The upcoming geopolitical struggle in Syria appears poised to focus on dismantling Iranian influence in the region.