Russia in Global Affairs

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Taiwan

“To Foresee Black Swans, to Watch Out for Gray Rhinos”

China will have to complete modernization in the face of growing confrontation with the West. If the CPC succeeds in addressing this challenge while maintaining acceptable growth rates and social stability over the next two decades, China will be able to change not only itself, but the entire world order we are accustomed to.

Alexander V. Lomanov

The World Is in a Very Dangerous Place

Today there are already calls (quietly so far) for a new Helsinki-style security conference. It is time, they say, to agree on new rules. The idea is obvious, but it does not seem realistic at the moment, because the treaty did not establish the status quo, rather it fixed it.

Fyodor A. Lukyanov

Biden Talks the Talk, but Is the US Committed to Meeting Its International Security Obligations?

US President Joe Biden’s visit to South Korea and Japan this week was his first in East Asia since taking office. The importance of this trip is undeniable. Washington is working hard to bring together what is commonly called ‘the collective West’.

Fyodor A. Lukyanov

Irredentism and the Crisis of National Identity

Irredentism may cause all the risks stemming from the strong identity of a great power and its imperial heritage, which fuels the temptation to regard the modern borders as “casually drawn” and “unfair,” to get mixed with nationalism. This is a very dangerous cocktail.

Alexei I. Miller

Asian Values as a Road to Progress

The uniqueness of the Far Eastern mobilization breakthrough is largely based on the traditional Confucian legacy, which, effectively applied, have helped Asian countries boost their status in the changing world order.

Konstantin V. Asmolov

Without Partnership

The anticipated transition of the U.S. Republican administration towards bilateral free trade area agreements may become an even more effective strategy for geoeconomic consolidation of Asian allies around Washington.

Dmitriy Novikov